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Our leaders and foreign investment

EDITOR, The Tribune.

It’s now official. None other than Minister of State for Finance Kwasi Thompson (champion of the investment-begging Commercial Enterprises Act) has conceded that The Bahamas actually dwarfs all of its colleagues in the latest UN report on Foreign Direct Investment.

In fact, with inflows of $897m even during the Covid-19 pandemic, we nearly doubled our nearest competitor.

Of course, while the headline suits a convenient current narrative (a “rebound” just in time for an election) this is not really news at all.

Anyone who follows these matters outside of the attention-deficient cycles of Bahamian news and politics is already aware that, relative to its population, The Bahamas consistently has no peer on earth in the level of Foreign Direct Investment it attracts.

In other words, if Foreign Direct Investment were the Holy Grail, we would already be living in Paradise.

As such, we could heap each government which claims (falsely) to have single-handedly gotten us here with praise and re-election. But alas, the holy grail it is not.

Massive investments in our traditional tourist plant like Atlantis and Baha Mar are the bright side of the equation. There is no rational way to deny that these projects positively impact every facet of our economic well-being.

They do this principally by employing large volumes of labour and secondarily by directly consuming goods and services from Bahamian businesses and professionals.

But a large and growing proportion of what is touted as foreign investment is nothing more than foreign residency and second home ownership, including the increasingly emphasized ‘residential’ component of resort communities.

While nobody has bothered to do a cost-benefit analysis of large-scale foreign home ownership in The Bahamas (aside, of course, from reporting the opinions of realtors) the anecdotal evidence is not encouraging.

There is little doubt, for instance, that a policy of marketing finite land resources as “luxury properties” on the international market has helped price Bahamians out of land ownership and reduce our middle class in a material way.

And unlike in the case of Atlantis or Baha Mar, there is no compensatory large-scale employment generated from even large clusters of foreign owned homes, like Lyford Cay or Ocean Club Estates on Paradise Island. In fact, they have become big generators of business for the likes of Western Union, whose services their foreign domestic workers use to send money back home.

As if to add insult to injury, government then colludes with the narrow clique of professionals (realtors and lawyers) that benefit from this largely harmful industry and introduces such “incentives” as a cap on Real Property Tax for ultra-wealthy homeowners, helping to keep our tax regime among the most regressive on the planet.

In addition, the Minnis government has taken this unselective approach to FDI even further by eroding the Bahamianization rules and actually setting out (via the Commercial Enterprises Act) to lower the bar for “investment” of any and every type, telling the world that they can come here and do whatever it is they do at home, and we’ll call them “investors” – unless, of course, they’re Haitian.

What should be clear (but probably isn’t to Minnis and crew) is that the disconnect between the huge FDI that we attract and any meaningful impact on our standard of living is hidden in the distinction between beneficial and non-beneficial kinds of investment activity.

All of the evidence is that the positive impacts of Atlantis and Baha Mar are being cancelled out by an investment policy that prices Bahamians out of land with little compensating benefit (unless you’re a land lawyer like me, or a realtor) and a tax policy that targets Bahamian consumers in order to incentivize more of this non-beneficial activity.

Being blessed by such huge (frankly unheard of) levels of beneficial foreign investment as we already have in this tiny country should permit us to be more selective about the other kinds of foreign-originated activity that we permit.

But our governments have, since 1992, done the exact opposite. Like a drug addict, they have treated every downturn of growth as evidence that more investment is needed and desperately lowered the bar, rather than examining whether the lowered bar is actually the problem.

ANDREW ALLEN

Nassau,

July 18, 2021

Comments

birdiestrachan 2 years, 9 months ago

Perhaps Mr: Thompson has to include OBAN in this total.

Will The FNM Government be so kind as to tell the Bahamian people when the OUR LUCAYA hotel will be sold.?

The PM promised to sell BAR MAR which the PLP Government had sold and closed the deal But they can not see their own Hotel the OUR LUCAYA,

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tetelestai 2 years, 9 months ago

Andrew, this is a very clear and cogent summary of the benefits - or lack thereof - of the existing FDI model. In particular, I support your assertion that The Bahamas has to become vastly more selective in the types of investments that we attract. And, we should severely reduce the amount of concessions liberally bestowed upon foreign investors. In fact, the UNCTAD report that you mentioned in your letter clearly outlines an inverse relationship between amount of quality foreign direct investment of a country and the concessions given - showing that, despite our (Bahamian government) beliefs, concessions are not as important a factor in making investment decisions.

I would quibble, just a bit, with the analysis that The Bahamas "has no peer" vis-a-vis FDI. On the contrary, we are almost middle of the pack (and trending downward!) in "quality FDI inflow, as measured by the UNCTAD report (2020). Incidentally, said report (2021), which the government and other private sector industry stakeholders tout as a measure of success, only measures us against, generally, other SIDS and does not, for example, compare us with Singapore, Estonia, and other small technologically driven countries. Regionally, Costa Rica, Brazil also outstrip us. We still have work to do.

Pleasure reading your letter.

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skeptic 2 years, 9 months ago

I appreciate your response.

When I talk about having no peers, I mean only in per capita terms and, yes, I was referring to far more than "quality" inflows, as my letter outlines. I will try to find relevant data for Singapore etc., but cannot imagine we are anywhere near middle of the pack for FDI per capita. Even $500 million in a population of 400,000 is pretty massive and few countries of our size have an investment half the size of either Atlantis or Baha Mar.

But I think we are onto the same points. Governments here look at FDI like it's some kind of quick fix drug, when in fact we could probably have twice as robust an economy with half the level of FDI that we have if we did not squander its benefits with concessions, regressive taxes and unnecessary "leakages".

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Andrew@allen 2 years, 9 months ago

Thanks and I think we basically agree.

On FDI ratings I was referring to Per Capita, in which we are clearly ahead of Brazil, Costa Rica, Estonia etc. I stand to be corrected.

Also I totally agree that the picture id very different if you mean "quality" investment.

In my own way that's the exact distinction I was making. I would also argue that we have more than enough FDI for our needs but the benefits are undermined by bad policy.

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tetelestai 2 years, 9 months ago

Understood. And, yes, per capital we are superior. Fair points.

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tribanon 2 years, 9 months ago

Please, let's just keep it simple knowing that land is the most scarce commodity our country has or will ever have.

Land throughout The Bahamas not currently foreign owned for commercial and/or residential purposes should no longer be available for sale to foreigners and thereby exclusively reserved for Bahamian ownership only. And that should include land on all islands, no matter how large or small they are.

Decades of allowing the sale of land to foreigners in an effort to stimulate our economy and/or maintain our nation's foreign currency reserves has proven disastrous for the availability of affordable housing for Bahamians. And going forward no unmarried Bahamian and his or her children or other immediate relatives, and no married Bahamians and their children or other immediate relatives, should be allowed to own more than one-half of an acre of land for residential purposes.

Everything possible must be done to prevent the total amount of land now currently foreign owned for residential and/or commercial purposes from increasing. This would mean that only land in our country currently foreign owned would be available for foreign and/or Bahamian ownership.

Property developers, real estate brokers/agents and real estate lawyers will of course all cry foul, but that should be the least of our country's worries when it comes to making our most scarce commodity available to more Bahamians for home ownership.

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